Annual report [Section 13 and 15(d), not S-K Item 405]

Note 4 - Fair Value Measurements

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Note 4 - Fair Value Measurements
12 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2025
Notes to Financial Statements  
Fair Value Disclosures [Text Block]

Note 4  Fair Value Measurements

 

FASB ASC Topic 820 specifies a hierarchy of valuation techniques based on whether the inputs to those valuation techniques are observable or unobservable. Observable inputs reflect market data obtained from independent sources, while unobservable inputs reflect market assumptions.

 

The three levels of the fair value hierarchy are as follows:

 

Level 1 – Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets.

 

Level 2 – Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and model-derived valuations whose inputs are observable or whose significant value drivers are observable.

 

Level 3 – Instruments with primarily unobservable value drivers.

 

There were no transfers between Level 1, Level 2 and Level 3 during fiscal 2025 and 2024.

 

As of September 30, 2025 and 2024, the Company’s financial liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis, which consisted of embedded derivatives, are also classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy.

 

The Company determines the fair value of hybrid instruments based on available market data using appropriate valuation models, considering all of the rights and obligations of each instrument. The Company estimates the fair value of hybrid instruments using various techniques (and combinations thereof) that are considered to be consistent with the objective of measuring fair value. In selecting the appropriate technique, the Company considers, among other factors, the nature of the instrument, the market risks that it embodies and the expected means of settlement. Estimating the fair value of derivative financial instruments requires the development of significant and subjective estimates that may, and are likely to, change over the duration of the instrument with related changes in internal and external market factors. Increases in fair value during a given financial quarter result in the recognition of non-cash derivative expense. Conversely, decreases in fair value during a given financial quarter would result in the recognition of non-cash derivative income. 

 

The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending liability balance associated with embedded derivatives measured at fair value using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) for the years ended September 30, 2025 and 2024:

 

   

2025

   

2024

 
                 

Beginning balance

  $ 1,570,000     $ 1,331,000  

Change in fair value of derivative liabilities

    3,138,316       239,000  

Extinguishments

    (4,708,316 )      

Ending balance

  $     $ 1,570,000  

 

The loss associated with the change in fair value of the embedded derivatives is included within net loss from discontinued operations on the accompanying consolidated statements of operations. It is included in discontinued operations because the related debt was required to be repaid as a result of the FC2 Business Sale.

 

The liabilities associated with embedded derivatives represented the fair value of the change of control provisions in the Residual Royalty Agreement. See Note 8 for additional information. There is no current observable market for these types of derivatives. The Company estimated the fair value of the embedded derivative within the Residual Royalty Agreement by using a scenario-based method, whereby different scenarios were valued and probability weighted. The scenario-based valuation model incorporated transaction details such as the contractual terms of the instrument and assumptions including projected FC2 revenues, expected cash outflows, probability and estimated dates of a change of control, risk-free interest rates and applicable credit risk. Material changes in any of these inputs would have resulted in a significantly higher or lower fair value measurement at future reporting dates, which could have had a material effect on our results of operations. On December 30, 2024, upon the FC2 Business Sale, the Company adjusted the fair value of the embedded derivative to the estimated fair value on that date and included the fair value of the embedded derivative in the carrying amount of debt, used to determine the gain on extinguishment of debt. 

 

The following table presents quantitative information about the inputs and valuation methodologies used to determine the fair value of the embedded derivatives classified in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy as of December 30, 2024, the date the Residual Royalty Agreement was terminated, and September 30, 2024:

 

Valuation Methodology

 

Significant Unobservable Input

 

December 30, 2024

 

September 30, 2024

             

Scenario-Based

 

Estimated change of control dates

 

December 2024

 

March 2025 to March 2027

   

Discount rate

 

N/A

 

12.1% to 12.3%

   

Probability of change of control

 

100%

 

60% to 90%

 

The Company also has investments in equity securities consisting of the Series D Preferred Stock and the ONCO Warrant as of September 30, 2025 and the ONCO Common Stock as of September 30, 2024. The Series D Preferred Stock and the ONCO Warrant were received on September 22, 2025 as a settlement of the ONCO Promissory Notes. See Note 14 for additional information. The Company has elected to measure the Series D Preferred Stock and the ONCO Warrant at fair value in accordance with ASC 825. The investments in the Series D Preferred Stock and the ONCO Warrant are classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy because there is no market for these types of securities and the fair value is determined using significant unobservable inputs. The fair value of the Series D Preferred Stock and the ONCO Warrant have been determined using a Monte Carlo simulation model. This valuation model incorporates the contractual terms of the instruments and assumptions including the stock price of ONCO Common Stock, expected volatility, and a selected discount rate. Additionally, the Series D Preferred Stock and the ONCO Warrant were issued by ONCO as part of a Securities Purchase Agreement, which included the sale of 16,099 shares of Series D convertible preferred stock and warrants to purchase 4,362,827 shares of ONCO Common Stock to eleven institutional investors, for an aggregate purchase price of $12.9 million. The valuation of the Series D Preferred Stock and ONCO Warrant includes a calibration discount to the proceeds of the original transaction, which was done at arms’ length. The assumptions used in calculating the fair value of the financial instruments represent the Company’s best estimates, but these estimates involve inherent uncertainties and the application of management judgment. As a result, the use of different estimates or assumptions would result in a higher or lower fair value and different amounts being recorded in the Company’s financial statements. Material changes in any of these inputs could result in a significantly higher or lower fair value measurement at future reporting dates, which could have a material effect on our results of operations. The following table summarizes the significant unobservable inputs used in the Monte Carlo Simulations as of September 22, 2025 (the date the Series D Preferred Stock and the ONCO Warrant were received and initially recognized) and as of September 30, 2025:

 

Significant Unobservable Input

 

September 22, 2025

   

September 30, 2025

 

Series D Preferred Stock

               

Simulation Term (Years)

    1.5       1.5  

Expected Volatility

    72.5 %     72.5 %

Discount Rate

    25.0 %     25.0 %

Calibration Discount

    48.6 %     48.6 %

ONCO Warrant

               

Simulation Term (Years)

    3.0       3.0  

Equity Volatility

    68.6 %     68.6 %

Calibration Discount

    48.6 %     48.6 %

 

The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balance associated with the Series D Preferred Stock and the ONCO Warrant measured at fair value of the year ended September 30, 2025, which are presented as investments in equity securities on the accompanying consolidated balance sheet:

 

   

2025

 

Series D Preferred Stock

       

Beginning balance

  $  

Additions

    1,758,003  

Change in fair value of equity securities

    6,315  

Ending balance

  $ 1,764,318  

ONCO Warrant

       

Beginning balance

  $  

Additions

    741,997  

Change in fair value of equity securities

    18,990  

Ending balance

  $ 760,987  

 

The Company had an investment in equity securities consisting of the ONCO Common Stock, which were sold during the year ended September 30, 2025 for net proceeds of $0.4 million. The value of the ONCO Common Stock was $0.7 million as of September 30, 2024.

 

The Company received 3,000 shares of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock (the “ONCO Series A Preferred Stock”) of ONCO on October 3, 2023 as part of a settlement of the receivable due on September 30, 2023 related to the sale of ENTADFI. See Note 14 for additional information. The Company elected to measure the ONCO Series A Preferred Stock at fair value in accordance with ASC 825. The investment in the ONCO Series A Preferred Stock was classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy because there is no market for the ONCO Preferred Stock and the fair value was determined using significant unobservable inputs. The fair value of the ONCO Preferred Stock was determined on the date received using a probability-weighted bond plus call option model, which incorporated the stock price of ONCO on the valuation date, expected volatility of 79%, expected term of 3 years, and a discount rate of 35%. The Company also applied a 15% discount for lack of marketability due to the fact that there is no market for the preferred stock and a 60% probability of dissolution. The valuation was determined to be $0.9 million at October 3, 2023. On September 24, 2024, the Company converted all of the shares of ONCO Series A Preferred Stock it held into the ONCO Common Stock. Following this conversion, the ONCO Common Stock was classified within Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy and the valuation was determined based on the closing price of the ONCO Common Stock. 

 

The Company recognized a loss from the change in fair value of equity securities of $0.3 million and $0.2 million during the years ended September 30, 2025 and 2024, respectively.